Even The Hunger Games can’t stay No. 1 forever, and it looks like this weekend, the giant will tumble from first place — where it has spent the past four weeks — to third.
But who gets the top spot – the weepy Zac Efron romance The Lucky One or the ensemble comedy Think Like a Man?
We think Think will win the weekend.
The Sony/Screen Gems movie should pull in at least $20 million over the weekend, and Boxoffice.com predicts it will gross $24 million. Either way, it’s an awfully good start for a film that cost about $13 million to make.
The Lucky One, from Warner Bros., is on track to do a few million dollars less than Think. An especially bright executive at a rival studio figures it’ll take $17.5 million, while Boxoffice.com has it taking $21 million.
Expect Hunger Games to take somewhere in the $13 million range.
Think is based on “Act Like a Lady, Think Like a Man,” a bestselling relationship advice book by Steve Harvey, the comedian. In the PG-13 movie, four guys realize their girlfriends have Steve Harvey’s advice against them, so they decide to turn the tables.
The movie, which is targeted at African Americans, will open at 2,015 locations. It stars Michael Ealy, Jerry Ferrara, Meagan Good, Regina Hall, Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson, Terrence J, Jenifer Lewis, Romany Malco, Gary Owen, and Gabrielle Union.
The Lucky One, which stars Zac Efron, Taylor Schilling, and Blythe Danner, is the seventh novel by Nicholas Sparks to be adapted for the big screen. He also wrote “The Notebook,” “Dear John,” “Nights in Rodanthe,” “The Last Song,” “A Walk to Remember” and “Message in a Bottle.”
Lucky will open at 3,155 locations.
The critics don’t especially like either movie: Think got a 41 from Metacritic, a good 59.8 from Movie Review Intelligence and a 55 from Rotten Tomatoes. Lucky wasn’t so lucky, getting a 39 from Metacritic, a weak 43.9 from Movie Review Intelligence and a 25 from Rotten Tomatoes.
Also this weekend, Disney opens its G-rated documentary Chimpanzee at 1,563 locations. Don’t expect it to crack $10 million.