The actuals are in, and The Five-Year Engagement did even worse than originally thought.
On top of that, the actuals show at The Hunger Games was the No. 3 movie in America over the weekend. Estimates on Sunday had Hunger Games at No. 4 and The Lucky One at No. 3. As it turns out, Lucky One was No. 4.
Five-Year, Universal’s R-rated comedy, took only $10.6 million in its debut weekend — about a half-million dollars less than the studio estimated on Sunday. Before the movie was released, many box-office watchers figured it would open to something in the $20 million range,
That’s a big “ouch” for a movie that cost about $30 million to make.
Meanwhile, studio estimates for The Lucky One
But don’t weep for Universal — at least not too much.
The studio’s next two movies are looking awfully good — or at least awfully profitable.
Battleship opens domestically on May 18, and already has grossed $170 million internationally.
And Snow White and the Huntsman, which looks very, very cool, opens on June 2. Expect Battleship to open in the $50 million neighborhood, and SWATH to open to around $60 million.
SWATH actually has visuals that looks so compelling, and such an impressive cast, it could do well better than that.
The Five-Year Engagement, though, surprised many box-office watchers by underperforming.
Now, we’re learning its underperformance was worse than imagined.
As it turns out, the actuals on all of the weekend’s top six movies did worse than studio estimates.
No. 1 Think Like a Man took $17.6 million, rather than $18 million.
No. 2 The Pirates! Band of Misfits took $11.1 million, rather than $11.4 million
No. 3 The Hunger Games took $10.81 million, rather than $11.25 million
No. 4 The Lucky One took $10.8 million, rather than $11.3 million
No. 5 The Five-Year Engagement took $10.6 million, rather than $11.1 million
No. 6 Safe took $7.7 million, rather than $7.9 million.
The estimate for No. 7 The Raven was on target, at $7.3 million.
The next two estimates were a touch off:
No. 8 Chimpanzee took $5.2 million, rather than $5.5 million.
No. 9 The Three Stooges took $5.2 million, rather than $5.4 million.
The No. 10 movie at the weekend box office, Cabin in the Woods, took $4.6 million, rather than the estimated $4.5 million.
– Joshua L. Weinstein